College Basketball December 31, 2015 free picks

Another good day yesterday going 5-1 for a 10-4 record on the week.  There's another 20 or so games today, and they start at noon.  It's a great day for college sports.  I have 3 picks for today's games.

If you like college football, I have a free pick for the Orange Bowl between Oklahoma and Clemson in my football blog.  You can find that HERE.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

James Madison (-5) vs College of Charleston

Butler (-7.5) vs Providence

Louisiana Monroe (-8.5) vs Appalachian State

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks for December 30, 2015

Good run with the picks yesterday going 4-2 for a 5-3 record on the week.  Shortly after publication, the Wisconsin line moved to +5.5, so if you had that you lost, if you bought the half point you pushed, and if you bought the full point to my recommended number you were a winner.  Lots of games today, and they start playing at noon.  I have 6 picks for today, and they are below.

If you like college football, I have a free pick for the Belk bowl between Mississippi State and North Carolina State in my football blog.  You can find that through this link.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Michigan (-4.5) at Illinois

Penn State (+16) at Maryland

Ohio State (-11) vs Minnesota - BIG

Marquette (-3) vs Seton Hall - BIG

Arkansas (+8) at Dayton

Indiana State (+10) at Evansville

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks for December 29, 2015

Yesterday we jumped back into the college basketball betting world, and the 2 picks provided went 1-1.  We have even more games today and I have 6 free picks for you.  If you like college football, I have a free pick for the Armed Forces Bowl today, you can find that in my football blog

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Wisconsin (+6.5) vs Purdue

William & Mary (-6) vs Central Michigan

Connecticut (+1) at Texas

Kansas (-16) vs UC Irvine

Eastern Kentucky (-5.5) vs Manhattan

Alabama (-18) vs Jacksonville State

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks for December 28, 2015

It's been a while since I had a basketball post.  Well, a while is based on the fact I had daily posts, to no posts for 3 or 4 days.  But when they don't play basketball, it's hard to make picks on the games.  Games pick back up today, and I have 2 picks for today's games.  Last week didn't go so well, have to tally up the damage still, been distracted by Christmas, and the after Christmas sales.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Butler (-23.5) vs IUPUI

Creighton (-29.5) vs Coppin State

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks December 23, 2015 updated

Below is the original post from early this morning.  Since then the neutral site games have lines posted, and I've just finished my analysis of them.  I'm adding 3 more picks for today.

Missouri (+5) vs Illinois

Auburn (-3.5) vs Harvard

Iona (+7.5) vs Akron

Original Post:
So much for this week starting out on a good foot.  After a 4-2 Monday, my picks went 3-6 on Tuesday, for a 7-8 record this week.  Ugh, the humanity.  It's ok, it's just one bad day.  There are more games today, and I have 4 free picks for todays games.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

TCU (-11) at Bradley

Pepperdine (-2) at Portland

Saint Mary's (-10) at Santa Clara

Mississippi State (-16) vs Northern Colorado

Good luck today.

College Basketball Free Picks for December 23, 2015

So much for this week starting out on a good foot.  After a 4-2 Monday, my picks went 3-6 on Tuesday, for a 7-8 record this week.  Ugh, the humanity.  It's ok, it's just one bad day.  There are more games today, and I have 4 free picks for todays games.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

TCU (-11) at Bradley

Pepperdine (-2) at Portland

Saint Mary's (-10) at Santa Clara

Mississippi State (-16) vs Northern Colorado

Good luck today.

College Basketball Free Picks for December 22, 2015

Looks like this week is starting out the same as last week.  Let's keep the momentum from yesterday going today.  Free picks for yesterday went 4-2.  Unfortunately for me, one of those 2 losses was Houston, as I was big on them and had them in 2 parlays where they were the only team that didn't cover.  That sucks, and cost me money.  Back at it today though with a few picks.  Lots of games for a Tuesday.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Dayton (-15.5) vs Miami OH

Iowa State (+4.5) at Cincinnati

Xavier (-7.5) at Wake Forest

Rice (+2.5) at South Alabama

Virginia (-11.5) vs California

Tennessee (-11) vs East Tennessee State

North Carolina State (-17) vs UNC Greensboro

Iowa (-21) vs Tennessee Tech

BYU (-7) vs Harvard

Good luck today.

College Basketball Free Picks for December 21, 2015

Last week started out strong, but then a cold front moved in and I couldn't solve the riddle.  That cold streak was topped off by an 0-2 Sunday giving me a losing week for the first time all season.  But it's a new week, and that means new opportunities.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Southern Illinois (-1) at Saint Louis

Saint Mary's (-18) vs San Francisco

Norfolk State (+6.5) at UTEP

Jacksonville State (-4) vs Northern Colorado

Houston (-2) vs Grand Canyon

Marshall (+3) vs Wyoming

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 20, 2015 free picks

Started off the week so hot, only to be hit with a cool streak for 3 straight days.  Yesterday's picks went 4-6, giving a weekly record of 9-11-1.  A couple of the games that were losses could've been wins, but the team I picked shit the bed.  I hate it when that happens.  Anyways I'm back at it today with 2 picks.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

James Madison (-7.5) vs East Carolina

Boise State (-23) vs Bradley

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks for December 19, 2015

Another rough day yesterday, going 0-2 with he picks I gave, bringing me down to 5-5-1 on the week.  There are a lot of games on the docket today, and I have found some good ones.  Here are 10 picks for today's games.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Xavier (-17) vs Auburn

Northeastern (+9) vs Michigan State

Miami FL (-17.5) vs College of Charleston

Illinois Chicago (+13) vs Loyola Chicago

Washington (-9) vs Oakland

UAB (-7) vs South Florida

Florida (-8) vs Oklahoma State

New Mexico (-17.5) vs Rice

Texas A&M (-2.5) vs Baylor

Buffalo (-11.5) vs Montana State

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks December 18, 2015

I only had 1 pick yesterday, and unfortunately, I lost it.  That brings my record on the week to 5-3-1.  Back at it today with 2 more picks for you.  Looks like a big day ahead tomorrow.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Long Beach State (+12.5) at Oregon

Eastern Kentucky (+4) at East Tennessee State

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks for December 17, 2015

In yesterdays games my picks went 3-1, bringing my weekly record to 5-2-1.  The line moves on a couple of games didn't impact anything, as you would've won/lost regardless of a few points here or there.  I have 1 pick for todays games, as there isn't much out there.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

West Virginia (-21) vs Marshall

Good luck today.

College Basketball Free Picks December 16, 2015

In yesterdays games my picks went 2-1-1, and Monmouth pulled the outright upset of Georgetown.  That's 2 games in a row I've gone against Georgetown and won, so I'll probably keep going against them in the future as they are over rated this year.  I have 4 picks for todays games.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Richmond (-5) vs Old Dominion

Mississippi State (+11.5) at Florida State

Missouri State (-1) vs Oral Roberts

Saint Mary's (-19) vs Southern Utah

Good luck today.

College Basketball free picks for December 15, 2015

No picks for yesterdays games, so still sitting 0-0 on the week.  It is only day 2 of the week though, so that will obviously change.  I have 4 picks for todays games.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

California Davis (-2) at San Diego

Tennessee Chattanooga (-11) vs Tennessee Tech

Monmouth (+8.5) at Georgetown

Norfolk State (+22.5) at Cincinnati

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 14, 2015

Closed out the week yesterday with a 2-0 record, giving me a 14-13-1 record on the week.  Currently standing at 60-48-2 on the season, which is cashing tickets and putting coin in the pocket.  I've looked at the 3 games for today, and they are all crap.  So take the day off, and get ready for another chance tomorrow.

College Basketball Sunday December 13, 2015

Yesterday we started off with 7 picks, and then I went through the lines later in the day and added 4 more selections.  Ended up going 6-5 between all 11 picks.  Today is Sunday, which is usually reserved for NFL, but there is quite a bit of college basketball being played today.  I have 2 picks for today.  If you like NFL games/action then check out my football blog, with 3 picks for todays games. You can find those picks through this link NFL week 14 picks.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Notre Dame (-15) vs Loyola Chicago

Villanova (-23.5) vs La Salle

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 12, 2015 update

I have found 4 more games that I like, here they are.  My original picks for the day are below, so far they've gone 1-1.

Eastern Kentucky (+1.5) at Marshall

North Carolina (-6.5) at Texas

Oakland (+5) at Toledo

Southern Illinois (-13.5) vs North Texas


Original Post:
There were no picks yesterday, it was a nice day off.  But back at it today with 7 picks for you.  I'm hungover and have nothing clever to say so I'll just get straight to the picks.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

UNC Wilmington (+11.5) at Georgetown

Cincinnati (+5) at Xavier

Arkansas Little Rock (+4.5) at Depaul

UCLA (+7.5) at Gonzaga

Creighton (-15) vs IUPUI

Delaware State (+29.5) at Michigan

Maryland Eastern Shore (+31) at Maryland

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 12, 2015

There were no picks yesterday, it was a nice day off.  But back at it today with 7 picks for you.  I'm hungover and have nothing clever to say so I'll just get straight to the picks.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

UNC Wilmington (+11.5) at Georgetown

Cincinnati (+5) at Xavier

Arkansas Little Rock (+4.5) at Depaul

UCLA (+7.5) at Gonzaga

Creighton (-15) vs IUPUI

Delaware State (+29.5) at Michigan

Maryland Eastern Shore (+31) at Maryland

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 11, 2015

When I worked in construction, one of the guys I worked with had a saying when someone fucked up, "got a bad batch of crack did ya?"  That somewhat applies to my college basketball process, but I've slightly modified it to, had a bad batch of numbers.  Yesterday was a bad batch of numbers day, as I ended up going 0-3 with my picks.  That puts me at 5-8-1 on the week.  Not good.  Today is a light day with lined games, but there will be lots of action available tomorrow.  I'm going to pass on any games that are out there today, and save my chips for tomorrow.  If you choose to place any action today, I wish you good luck.  Check back tomorrow early and often for my picks and updates throughout the day.

College Basketball December 10, 2015

Ah line movements.  Sometimes they work in your favor and sometimes they go against you.  Last night is a great example, as I had posted Eastern Illinois +6, and they lost by exactly 6.  That results in a push for me as I'm going by the lines posted.  If you got Eastern Illinois later in the day, you got them anywhere from +7 to +8, and you got a win.  So some of our records will be different, but I will continue to post my record based on the lines I give.  That left me at 2-2-1 for the day yesterday, and 5-5-1 for the week.

Not a lot of games today, but I have 3 that I like.  Sometimes the numbers just align, and sometimes they don't.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Seton Hall (-16) vs Troy - BIG

Canisius (+5) at Penn State

IUPUI (+4.5) at Missouri State

Good luck today.

Free picks for College Basketball December 9

I should've just stuck with my original 5 picks and not added the 6th game later.  Had I done that I would've went 3-2, but I added the game and I got juiced, sitting 3-3 on the day and week.  I have 5 more games that I like today, here are the picks.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Nebraska (5.5) at Creighton

Boise State (-14.5) vs Loyola Marymount

Long Beach State (+4) at Pepperdine

Eastern Illinois (+6) at Marshall

Texas Tech (-14) vs Tennessee Martin

Good luck today.

updated college basketball Dec 8

I've looked at the line moves, and found 1 more game that I like, so I'm adding it to my selections.  Below is the original post, you can still get most of those lines, but a few have changed.

Evansville (+2.5) at Arkansas


Original Post:
I didn't have any picks yesterday, so I'm still sitting at 0-0 on the week.  There was 1 game I was leaning towards making a pick, but I'm glad I didn't as they didn't cover.  I ended last week with a 16-14-1 record, and my season total is now at 46-35-1.  I have 5 games that I like today, here are the picks.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Virginia (-3.5) vs West Virginia

Xavier (-21) vs Wright State

Houston (+7.5) at Rhode Island

Marquette (-17.5) vs San Jose State

Colgate (+21.5) at Syracuse

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 8th

I didn't have any picks yesterday, so I'm still sitting at 0-0 on the week.  There was 1 game I was leaning towards making a pick, but I'm glad I didn't as they didn't cover.  I ended last week with a 16-14-1 record, and my season total is now at 46-35-1.  I have 5 games that I like today, here are the picks.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Virginia (-3.5) vs West Virginia

Xavier (-21) vs Wright State

Houston (+7.5) at Rhode Island

Marquette (-17.5) vs San Jose State

Colgate (+21.5) at Syracuse

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 6th

My picks went 4-4 yesterday, giving me a 14-13-1 mark on the week.  I have 3 games that I like today, and those picks are below.  If you like football and looking for some action there I have 3 picks for todays NFL games in my football blog.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Delaware (+10) at Columbia

Marist (+4.5) at Manhattan

San Diego (+16.5) at San Diego State

Good luck today.  Come back for more picks tomorrow, also check out my football blog for my NFL picks.

College Basketball Saturday December 5th

Hooray for Saturday.  There are a ton of games today, not as many lined as a normal Saturday, but still 60 lined games isn't to shabby.  My picks went 1-3 yesterday, giving me a 10-9-1 mark on the week.  I have 8 games that I like today, and those picks are below.  If you like college football and looking for some action there I have 5 picks for todays games in my football blog.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Syracuse (+5.5) at Georgetown

Drexel (+7) at La Salle

New Mexico (+14.5) at Purdue

South Florida (+19) at South Carolina

Xavier (-18) vs Western Kentucky

SIU Edwardsville (+20.5) at Northwestern

Morehead State (+13) at Indiana

New Mexico State (+1.5) at Long Beast State - BIG

Good luck today.  Come back for more picks tomorrow, and of course my NFL picks will be posted later today.

College Basketball Dec 4th update

This is an update to the original post, which is below, that was posted in the early morning hours.  I've reviewed the lines for any new value, and found 1 more game of interest.  Unfortunately, the only line still available from my original 3 picks is Manhattan +10.  Elon is down to pick em, and Marshall is down to +7.5.  Here is the new pick.

Northern Illinois (+3.5) at Missouri:


Original Post:
Happy Friday Everybody.  My picks went 3-1-1 yesterday, giving me a 9-6-1 mark on the week.  More games being played today than yesterday, but not as many favorable matchups for us.  I'm posting a little early today, so I will check lines for updates later, and if I find anything else good I'll share that too.  I have 3 picks for tonights games.  There will be a full day of basketball tomorrow, and probably a lot of selections, which means a lot of action.  Hope your bankrolls are holding up.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Marshall (+8.5) vs Akron

Elon (+3.5) at Florida International

Manhattan (+10) at Siena

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 4th

Happy Friday Everybody.  My picks went 3-1-1 yesterday, giving me a 9-6-1 mark on the week.  More games being played today than yesterday, but not as many favorable matchups for us.  I'm posting a little early today, so I will check lines for updates later, and if I find anything else good I'll share that too.  I have 3 picks for tonights games.  There will be a full day of basketball tomorrow, and probably a lot of selections, which means a lot of action.  Hope your bankrolls are holding up.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Marshall (+8.5) vs Akron

Elon (+3.5) at Florida International

Manhattan (+10) at Siena

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 3rd

My picks went 3-1 yesterday, giving me a 6-5 mark on the week.  Not as many games on the docket today, but I found 5 that I like.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Western Michigan (+6) at James Madison

Long Beach State (+7) at Colorado State

SIU Edwardsville (+16) at Wisconsin Milwaukee

UC Riverside (-16) vs Northern Colorado

Oklahoma (-29.5) vs Central Arkansas

Good luck today.

College Basketball December 2

Opened December with a 2-2 mark yesterday.  Another full slate of games today, and I found 4 that are worthy of your money.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Arizona State (+8) at Creighton

Saint Peter's (+6) at Rider

Southeast Missouri State (+13) at Southern Illinois

Sacramento State (+6) at UC Davis

Good luck today.

College Basketball Dec 1st

It's the first of the month!!  Closed out November with a 1-2 mark yesterday.  I hope that December yields better results.  A full slate of games today, and I found 4 that are worthy of your money.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Richmond (+8.5) at Florida

UT Arlington (+10) at Texas

Maryland (+6) at North Carolina

Eastern Kentucky (+6) at Western Kentucky

Good luck today.

College Basketball Nov 30th

Yesterday we closed out the first week with a 3-3 record, but still won 58% of the bets last week thanks to a smoking hot start.  Not many games today, but a few goodies.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Tennessee Chattanooga (-2) at Louisiana Monroe

Fresno State (+11.5) at Oregon

LSU (-5) at College of Charleston

Good luck today, and check out my other blog for some free picks for NFL action today.

College Basketball Nov 29th

Yesterday was a disappointing day with a 4-6 record.  I've decided to eliminate the levels all together, if I find something that should be hit a little harder I will mention it, but just stick to betting the same amount on each game, it helps with bankroll management, and doesn't provide as many fluctuations in your results.  Anyways, more games are ready for today, and I have a few picks for you.

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Duke (-17.5) vs Utah State

Cal State Northridge (+17) at UCLA

Mercer (-2) at Western Michigan

Wichita State (+5) vs Iowa - neutral site

Santa Clara (+6) vs Boston College - neutral site

Providence (+8) vs Michigan State - neutral site

Good luck today, and check out my other blog for some free picks for NFL action today.

College Basketball Nov 28th

Yesterday was the first losing day I've had in giving picks, but I really didn't expect to continue winning at a 71% rate anyway.  That was yesterday and this is today, a full slate of basketball is on the docket, and I found some good ones.  I have 10 picks for you.  Good Luck

My picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Georgia (+3) at Seton Hall - Level 2

Bradley (+9) vs Mississippi - Level 1

South Dakota (+6.5) at Sacramento State - Level 1

Youngstown State (+4) at Niagara - Level 1

Manhattan (+8.5) at Fordham - Level 1

Southern Utah (+9) at Eastern Kentucky - Level 2

Montana State (+9) at Wyoming - Level 1

Eastern Washington (+3) vs Pacific - Level 2

George Washington (+5.5) vs Cincinnati - Level 1

Illinois (+9.5) vs Iowa State - Level 1


Here are the dollar figures for the different levels as a reminder.

Bet Levels:
Level 1 - Minimum Bet (half your normal bet, for a $100 player, only $50)
Level 2 - Normal Bet
Level 3 - 1.5x your normal bet
Level 4 - 2 times your normal bet
Level 5 - Max Bet

updated college basketball Nov 27th

This is updated from the previous blog below.  A few more lines became available and I found 3 more that are worth your attention.  Unfortunately I was on a flight and couldn't get posted in time for all 3, so you'll miss out on the Gonzaga game.

Gonzaga (-3.5) vs Connecticut - Level 3

Syracuse (+6) vs Texas A&M - Level 3

Boise State (+9.5) vs Michigan State - Level 1

below is the original blog.  Good luck today.

A slow day on Thanksgiving without many options, but still managed a 2-1 record.  All bets yesterday were level 2 bets.  I want to apologize, as I've been conservative and recommending a lot of level 1 bets as I juggle football and basketball.  If you would've bet 100 on each game you'd be up a lot more money, but we're still winning money so fuck it., but the only thing better than winning money is winning more money.  Of course, you can bet however much you want on these games, I'm just giving recommendations.  I have 4 picks for today, and they are split between level 1 and level 2 bets.  Here are the picks.  In case I haven't pointed this out, and it's not obvious, my picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Ohio State (-1) vs Memphis - Level 1

Jacksonville State (-5) vs Chicago - Level 2

Colorado State (-6.5) vs Portland - Level 2

Cincinnati (-14.5) vs Nebraska - Level 1


Here are the dollar figures for the different levels as a reminder.

Bet Levels:
Level 1 - Minimum Bet (half your normal bet, for a $100 player, only $50)
Level 2 - Normal Bet
Level 3 - 1.5x your normal bet
Level 4 - 2 times your normal bet
Level 5 - Max Bet

College Basketball Nov 27th

A slow day on Thanksgiving without many options, but still managed a 2-1 record.  All bets yesterday were level 2 bets.  I want to apologize, as I've been conservative and recommending a lot of level 1 bets as I juggle football and basketball.  If you would've bet 100 on each game you'd be up a lot more money, but we're still winning money so fuck it., but the only thing better than winning money is winning more money.  Of course, you can bet however much you want on these games, I'm just giving recommendations.  I have 4 picks for today, and they are split between level 1 and level 2 bets.  Here are the picks.  In case I haven't pointed this out, and it's not obvious, my picks are the teams with the line after them, and I usually put them first.  I'll include the line whether they're giving or getting points.

Ohio State (-1) vs Memphis - Level 1

Jacksonville State (-5) vs Chicago - Level 2

Colorado State (-6.5) vs Portland - Level 2

Cincinnati (-14.5) vs Nebraska - Level 1


Here are the dollar figures for the different levels as a reminder.

Bet Levels:
Level 1 - Minimum Bet (half your normal bet, for a $100 player, only $50)
Level 2 - Normal Bet
Level 3 - 1.5x your normal bet
Level 4 - 2 times your normal bet
Level 5 - Max Bet

College Basketball November 26

Another good day yesterday with a 5-2 overall record.  The level 2 bets were 1-1, the level 3 bets were 2-1 and the level 1 bets went 2-0.  Back at it today with some more games, all games today are level 2 bets.  Here are the picks, good luck.

East Carolina (+4.5) vs Arkansas Little Rock - Level 2

Michigan State (-15) vs Boston College - Level 2

Providence (-2) vs Evansville - Level 2


Here are the dollar figures for the different levels as a reminder.

Bet Levels:
Level 1 - Minimum Bet (half your normal bet, for a $100 player, only $50)
Level 2 - Normal Bet
Level 3 - 1.5x your normal bet
Level 4 - 2 times your normal bet
Level 5 - Max Bet

College Basketball November 25

Good day yesterday with a 7-2 overall record.  The level 2 bets were 2-0 and the level 1 bets went 5-2.  A couple of games were close, but close only counts in horse shoes and hand grenades, so a win is a win.  Back at it today with some more games, across levels 1, 2 and 3.  Here are the picks.

Wisconsin Milwaukee (-2) vs Central Michigan - level 1

Duquesne (-2) vs Western Kentucky - Level 3

Michigan (+4.5) vs Connecticut - Level 3

Cleveland State (+12) vs South Dakota State - Level 1

Rhode Island (+5.5) vs Maryland - Level 2

Creighton (-4) vs Massachusetts - Level 2

Clemson (-12) vs Rutgers - Level 3

Here are the value for the different levels as a reminder.

Bet Levels:
Level 1 - Minimum Bet (half your normal bet, for a $100 player, only $50)
Level 2 - Normal Bet
Level 3 - 1.5x your normal bet
Level 4 - 2 times your normal bet
Level 5 - Max Bet

College Basketball 11/24/15

Updated to include additional selections after all neutral site games were posted.

Well yesterday was a tricky start to the season.  Sure the picks went 3-2, but my level 3 game of NC State was a loser, so not a positive in bank account.  That’s the hard part about having level betting, lose a higher valued wager and chances are you’re not going to make money that day.  That’s why I always try to bet the same amount on every game, and I really didn’t want to include the level betting.  However, NC State had a 75% chance of covering yesterday based on historical results, so I thought it was worth a few extra bucks.  I have been in football mode, and am having some trouble of flipping the switch to basketball.  Due to these reasons, I am going to mostly recommend level 1 bets for the time being, at least until I can hire someone to help me, or college football is over and I have more time to dedicate to basketball. 

Today is another day though, and with each new day come new opportunities.  Because of the tournaments being played all over the place, and without having certain matchups not all games today have lines posted.  However, I have found a few games that I like out of the lines posted so far, and here they are.

TCU (+6.5) vs Rhode Island – Level 1

Maryland (-10) vs Illinois State – Level 1

Cleveland State (+6) vs Rider – Level 1

Valparaiso (+3.5) at Oregon State – Level 1

Wisconsin Milwaukee (+3) vs Duquesne - Level 1 (Milwaukee +2 is fine too, this line is moving fast)

Weber State (-5) vs Drake - Level 2

Kansas (-9) vs UCLA - Level 2

Northwestern (-7.5) vs Missouri - Level 1

Idaho (+1.5) vs Troy - Level 1

That’s it for now, but check back later for updates as more lines are posted for todays game.  As a reminder here are the bet levels.

Bet Levels:
Level 1 - Minimum Bet (half your normal bet, for a $100 player, only $50)
Level 2 - Normal Bet
Level 3 - 1.5x your normal bet
Level 4 - 2 times your normal bet
Level 5 - Max Bet

College Basketball Picks for 11/23/2015

Okay, so here are my first picks posted for the college basketball season.  Yes I know the season started 10 days ago, but I've been busy retooling my system, and giving away all those college football and NFL picks.  Anyways, here are my picks for today and the level in which I like them at.  The bet levels are posted on the web site at https://www.jamesonmillergreen.com/basketball.html and also on the basketball free picks page.  I will include them here for a short period of time as a reminder.


Bet Levels:
Level 1 - Minimum Bet (half your normal bet, for a $100 player, only $50)
Level 2 - Normal Bet
Level 3 - 1.5x your normal bet
Level 4 - 2 times your normal bet
Level 5 - Max Bet


Here are the picks:

North Carolina State (-1.5) vs Arizona State (neutral site) - Level 3
Kansas State (-5.5) vs Missouri (neutral site) - Level 1
Rutgers (+12.5) vs Creighton (neutral site) - Level 1
Belmont (-10.5) vs South Alabaman (neutral site) - Level 1
Tennessee Chattanooga (+16) at Iowa State - Level 1

Welcome

Welcome to Jameson, Miller & Green's basketball picks.  College Basketball was the first system I built to break down the games.  With 351 teams it was a necessity as it's virtually impossible to keep up with every team while holding down a full time job, and dating.  I've been modifying and updating my system for the past 3 years, and I will continue to make minor tweaks as I see fit.  I have over 5,000 games logged in my database that I use for comparison purposes.

My system is unique as it doesn't matter which teams are playing, it's blind to that.  What matters is the performance of the line value.  It all starts with an offensive and defensive efficiency calculation, that I have for each team.  I adjust those ratings based on whether the team is playing at home or away.  I then compare that figure to the current line posted in Vegas, which is what I call the line value.  When I first started this I operated under the assumption that a positive line value meant an opportunity to win, that wasn't always right.  I then thought the higher the value the better, and again that wasn't always right.  The bottom line is, every game is an opportunity to win or lose.  I just needed to figure out a way to minimize the losing, and play the winning angles.  So I started logging every game played, and tracked how well the line value did.

I then realized that there were different scenarios where a number could be good while overall the number isn't that impressive.  Whether a team is home/away or favorite/underdog and a combination of those 2 groups play an important part in what game you choose to play.  For instance say Duke and Wisconsin are playing, and I have a line value of 2 on Duke.  The past performance of 2 overall is 51.3%, that's not good.  But digging deeper I see that Duke is at home and is a favorite.  Well a home favorite with a line value of 2 has a win percentage of 58.4%, that's much better and a scenario you want to consider to bet on.  Remember you only have to win 53% of the bets you place in order to make money.

After I figured out the different scenarios and win percentages, I needed more.  I wanted to know how close the games were.  I mean a line variance could have a 59% win percentage, but if the average win margin is less than 1 point, then you probably want to avoid as their is a high probability that the win percentage will drop soon, and your bankroll right along with it.  So I added in calculation that will tell me the cover/loss amount for each scenario to go along with the win/loss percentage.  Now we were cooking with gas.  I also added in a game count for each scenario, because a large sample size is a good indicator of future performance, while a small sample size is still vulnerable to large fluctuations.

Finally after I got a couple of seasons of data inputted, I wanted to be able to look at the current season separately from the overall results.  I did this for the fact that a line value could have a 53% win percentage overall, but this season it's at 62%, so each this season is raising the overall into betting angles.  So for each game I look at the line value for each game for overall results, home/away results, favorite/underdog results, and then home favorite/home dog/road favorite/road dog situational results.  That's 4 different results for each game, and I look at those for the entire database, last seasons performance and current season performance.

Oh I also keep track of ATS records for each team, and each of the situations mentioned above.  The combination of knowing if it's a good number, and how well each team performs gives an exceptional insight into whether you're on the right side or not.  I also look at these for overall, last season and current season.

It's a fun little system that has generated money in my pocket for the past 2 seasons.  It is that reason I decided to share, so you can get in on the action yourself, and place bets with confidence instead of guessing.  To me, it's not gambling, rather it's a calculated risk.  Now I still go on streaks of wins and losses, but for the whole season I've ended in the black.

I'm working on a way to be able to provide each days games in an excel spreadsheet to all of you, so you can make your own decisions.  However, I'm still trying to figure out this whole website management/building thing, so until I can figure it out I'm just going to provide a list of games that I'm taking and a level of confidence, a.k.a, how much to wager.  There are certain criteria that I use to determine a "max game" and in those instances I bet the maximum I can on that game, or the maximum my bankroll can manage.  I've won around 85% of those games, and they pay off nicely.  I hope you get the same results.  Good luck this season.